Us Treasury 3 Etf Performance

UTRE Etf   49.89  0.03  0.06%   
The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0264, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning US Treasury are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, US Treasury is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in US Treasury 3 are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
1
Trading the Move, Not the Narrative Edition - Stock Traders Daily
01/27/2026

US Treasury Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,942  in US Treasury 3 on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  47.00  from holding US Treasury 3 or generate 0.95% return on investment over 90 days. US Treasury 3 is currently generating 0.0156% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.0988% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 0% of etfs are less volatile than UTRE, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Treasury is expected to generate 1.63 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 7.74 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

US Treasury Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of UTRE Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 49.89 90 days 49.89 
about 5.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of US Treasury to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.36 (This US Treasury 3 probability density function shows the probability of UTRE Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Treasury 3 has a beta of -0.0264. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding US Treasury are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, US Treasury 3 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally US Treasury 3 has an alpha of 0.0029, implying that it can generate a 0.002913 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   US Treasury Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for US Treasury

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Treasury 3. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.7949.8949.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.7545.8554.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.7049.7949.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.8949.8949.89
Details

US Treasury Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. US Treasury is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the US Treasury's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold US Treasury 3, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of US Treasury within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

About US Treasury Performance

By analyzing US Treasury's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into US Treasury's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if US Treasury has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if US Treasury has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
US Treasury is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NASDAQ exchange.